摘要
在解析城市客运交通系统合理结构的基础上,根据居民出行方式选择随距离和综合交通条件而变化的内在规律,以居民出行距离分布特征为基础,论证常规公交与城市轨道交通出行全过程广义效用值边际效应,综合构建城市客运交通方式出行选择模型。以某中心城市为例,计算结果表明:以出行距离分布特征为基础,考虑城市综合交通条件,结合未来客运结构辨识而建立的城市出行方式选择模型具有较好的拟合特征和适用性。
By analyzing the structure of urban passenger transport system and according to the inherent laws for people's choice for traveling with distance and comprehensive traffic conditions, marginal effect of general utility values for bus and urban rail transit are demonstrated and a model for people's choice for traveling in urban area is established. With some central city as example, the calculation result has shown that the model well fits actual circumstances and has good applicability.
出处
《铁道运输与经济》
北大核心
2012年第7期50-55,共6页
Railway Transport and Economy
关键词
交通系统
客运结构
模型
分担率
等时点
Transport System
Structure ofPassenger Transport System
Model
Sharing Ratio
Equal Time Point