近年来南亚经济发展的特点及其趋势

Features and Trends of Recent Economic Development in South Asia

2009年国际金融危机给南亚各国经济造成到程度不同的影响,经济增长率普遍下降。2010年,南亚国家在经济发展中为通货膨胀所困扰;同时,由于政治环境和安全形势不同、国际金融危机对策不同,南亚各国经济发展形势也明显不同,呈现出"阴晴两重天"的特点。印度、斯里兰卡和孟加拉国等国经济恢复发展,呈现出快速增长态势,而巴基斯坦、阿富汗和尼泊尔等国经济不仅未能恢复发展,而且增长缓慢。展望未来,通货膨胀将继续困扰南亚国家;南亚经济发展"阴晴两重天"的特点在短期内不大可能发生根本改变。印度等国家经济仍将保持较快速度增长,当然经济增长率可能会有所下降,而巴基斯坦等国经济在短期内可能依然难以恢复,仍将处于增长缓慢状态。

International financial crisis which started in 2009has different effects on South Asia.The regional countries suffer from persistent inflation and low growth rate,while each country has its own development trajectory because of distinctive political environment and of unique response to the crisis.Thus,there are rain and shine side-by-side in South Asian countries.Some countries have been back to a normal track of development and kept relatively rapid growth,such as India,Sri Lanka and Bangladesh ;and others have been hard to recover from the crisis and continue to feature a slow growth,with the cases of Pakistan,Afghanistan and Nepal.