兰州市旅游经济与城市生态环境协调发展研究

Study on coordinated development of tourism economy and urban ecological environment in Lanzhou Cicy

通过阐明兰州市旅游经济与城市生态环境之间的相互影响、相互依存和相互胁迫的关系,构建了兰州市旅游经济与城市生态环境协调发展评价指标体系,利用旅游经济与城市生态环境协调发展度相关的定量评价模型,对兰州市近年来的旅游经济与城市生态环境协调度的动态变化进行了初步分析.在此基础上,采用R/S分析法,预测了兰州市旅游经济与城市生态环境未来发展趋势.结果表明,2003—2009年兰州市旅游经济与城市生态环境协调发展类型由中度失调衰退型转变为勉强协调发展型,未来仍然停留在勉强协调发展类型.旅游经济综合效益、城市生态环境综合效益、协调度、综合评价指数和协调发展度都呈增长态势,未来的整体变化将会继续呈上升趋势.

The relationship between Lanzhou’s tourism economy and urban ecological environment is clarified.By establishing the evaluation system of the coordinated development about Lanzhou’s tourism economy and urban ecological environment,the appraisal model is employed to analyze variation about ecological environment and tourism economy in recent years and predicts the trend.The results are as follows：tourism economy and urban ecological environmental in Lanzhou transits from moderate disorders of recession class to barely coordination development class during 2003—2009,and may still stay at barely coordination development class in the future.Comprehensive tourism economy,urban ecological environment performance,the coordinative degree,comprehensive evaluation index and the coordinative development degree are all directing to a better coordinated development,and tendency in the future will continue to rise.