中国工业燃烧能源碳排放影响因素分解研究

Analysis of the Factors Influencing the Emission of Carbon Dioxide in Chinese Industry

伴随着中国工业化进程的加快,工业经济发展迅速,然而粗放型的发展方式也导致了大量的二氧化碳排放。基于LMDI方法的研究结果显示:经济发展、产业结构和人口规模变化对中国工业碳排放均具有较大的累积贡献;经济发展效应远超过了能源结构效应;工业能源消耗强度因素表现为唯一的负效应。因此,优化产业结构和能源消费结构、有效降低能源消耗强度、提高能源利用效率,能够有效控制工业碳排放的持续增加。

With the acceleration of industrialization,Chinese industry has developed rapidly.However,the extensive developing modes still dominates,which leads to the increasing emission of carbon dioxide every year.The heavy demand of energy due to the growth of Chinese economy has outweighed the optimization adjustment of energy consumption structure.The industrial energy consumption intensity is the only negative effect which influences the variation of the emission of carbon dioxide.Thus,decreasing the energy consumption effectively and increasing the efficiency of energy utilization have become the most effective ways to reduce emission.