吉林财政支出与GDP增长的关系分析

An Analysis of Relationship between Fiscal Expenditure and GDP Growth in Jilin Province——Analyzing Nick Adams

本文运用协整理论和误差修正模型对吉林省1990-2010年预算内财政支出和GDP之间的关系进行了实证分析,通过协整检验和建立误差修正模型来反映两者之间的长期关系,同时对细化的财政支出与GDP增长之间进行了回归分析。分析结果表明,吉林省GDP增长与一般预算支出之间存在长期均衡关系,且科教文卫支出对于GDP增长的影响较为明显。

Using co - integration theory and vector error correction model to get a positive analysis of the re- lationship between fiscal expenditure and GDP within budget in Jilin Province from 1990 to 2010, by co - inte- gration test and the establishment of vector error correction model to get a regression analysis of refining fiscal ex- penditure and GDP growth, the results from which can be shown that there exists a long - term balanced relation- ship between GDP growth and general budget expenditure, besides, the expenditure of WESCHO has an obvious impact on GDP growth.