ARMA模型在成都市人均GDP预测中的应用

Application of ARMA Model on Prediction of Per Capita GDP in Chengdu City

从时间序列的基本概念出发,以成都市1978～2010年的人均GDP时间序列数据为基础,建立了ARMA模型,并对成都市未来三年的人均GDP进行短期预测.

From the basic concept view of the time series,a ARMA model on the basis of time series data of per capita GDP of Chengdu City from 1978 to 2010 is established, and a short-term prediction of Chengdu＇s per capita GDP in the next three year is made.