伦敦奥运会我国竞技体操优势项目群的研究

Study on Advantage Items of China's Artistic Gymnastics in London Olympic Games

运用文献资料、数理统计以及比较分析法,以第41—43届世界体操锦标赛各国竞技体操项目奖牌数为研究平台,依据竞技比较优势理论找出目前我国竞技体操的优势、潜优势项目,在此基础上,对近3年世界竞技体操强国的优势项目群的动态变化以及与我国优势项目群重叠的各竞技单位优势项目群的动态变化进行分析,结果显示:伦敦奥运会我国竞技体操的比较优势项目有双杠等6项,潜优势项目有高低杠等5项,伦敦奥运会世界竞技体操强国有各自的优势项目群且比较优势程度不同.伦敦奥运会我国竞技体操优势项目与潜优势项目的主要竞争对手如下:男子团体项目为日本,平衡木项目为美国,女子团体项目为美国和俄罗斯,高低杠项目为美国,女子自由操项目为澳大利亚,鞍马项目为匈牙利.

Based on the medals＇ distribution in the 41st-43rd World Gymnastics Cham- pionship and according to the ＂comparative advantage＂ theory, it searches for the advantages and potential advantages in China＇s artistic gymnastics by using literature, statistical, logical analysis. After analyzing the variations of the advanteage items among the few major countries in the recent 3 years as well as the variations of their overlap with China＇s advantage items, proposes for the strategy of preparing the coming 30th London Olympic Games are put forwardthe comparative advantage items of China＇s artistic gymnastics are double rods and another five items, potential advantage items are the uneven bars and another four items. Each artistic gymnastics power has its advantage items and the level of their comparative advantage is different. In London Olympic Games, the major competitors of China＇s artistic gymnastics advantage items and the potential advantage items are listed as follows. the competitor of men＇s team project is from Japan, the competitor of balance beam project is from the United States, the competitors of women＇s team project are from the United States and Russia, the competitor of uneven bar is from the United States, the competitor of women＇s floor exercise project is from Australia, the competitor of pommel horse project is from Hungarian.