影响农户农地流出和流入意愿的微观因素研究——对温州农村的实地调查与分析

Research on Micro-factor Affecting Rural Households’Desire for Inflow or Outflow of Their Land —Analysis Based on the Spot Survey on Wenzhou Countryside

对"全国农村产权制度改革试验区"温州市5个市(区)下辖的12个乡镇进行入户抽样调查,运用Logistic回归分析法,分析影响农户流出和流入耕地承包经营权意愿的微观因素,结果表明:农户人均收入的增加、非农收入比重的提高、农地流转中介组织的建立、农业经营能手的培育是农村耕地承包经营权顺利流转的基础;同时,城镇近郊农户的农地流出意愿要低于远郊地区。因而,在经济条件尚未成熟的地区强行推进农地流转可能会导致当地农户的反感甚至强烈反对。

Sampling investigation is conducted on 12 towns and villages of five cities （districts） of Wenzhou which is the National Pilot Zone of Rural Property Right System Reform and the micro-factor influencing rural households＇ desire for inflow or outflow of the operating right of their contracted arable land is analyzed by using Logistic regression analysis method. The results indicate that the basis for successful transfer of the operating right of contracted rural arable land includes the increase of per capita income of agricultural households, the increase of the proportion of non-agricultural income, the establishment of intermediary organizations for rural land transfer and the cultivation of agricultural business experts, thus, coercive implementation of rural land transfer in the area with less- developed economy will result in the opposition of local rural households or even strong opposition.