农村人口城镇化影响农民增收的机制分析与实证检验——以广东省为例

Mechanism and empirical analysis of rural urbanization affecting farmers' income——the case of Guangdong province

农村人口城镇化通过提高农业生产效率、扩大农产品消费市场、增加非农就业、带动周边农村的土地及物业升值等机制影响农民增收,以广东近30年的发展数据为样本进行实证分析,结果表明,广东农民人均纯收入与城镇化水平之间存在显著的正向长期均衡关系,城镇化水平每提高1%,农民人均纯收入将增长约1.23%。指出广东应继续推进和优化农村人口城镇化战略,通过农村城镇化建设、城乡统筹发展等,从根本上实现农民收入的持续增长。

The rural urbanization affects farmers＂ income by improving the efficiency of agricultural production, expanding the consumer market of agricultural products, increasing non-farm employment, and driving the surrounding rural land and property appreciating. This paper has done an empirical analysis with nearly 30 years data of Guangdong province, and the results show that there are significant positive long-run equilibrium relationship between Guangdong farmers income and urbanization, and the province＇s farmers income will grow by about 1.23% when the level of urbanization increase by 1%. Therefore, Guangdong should continue to actively promote and optimize urbanization strategy, and promote rural population shift from the rural to the urban and non-agricultural industries, which will achieve the continued growth of farmers income fundamentally.