“十二五”我国海洋渔业发展主要指标预测分析

China marine fishery development indicators forecasting analysis in the Twelfth Five-Year Plan

海洋渔业是海洋经济的重要组成部分和人类食物的重要来源,各级领导都非常重视海洋渔业资源的开发与利用,本文运用回归分析方法预测了"十二五"海洋渔业发展主要指标。研究发现2015年,我国海洋渔业增加值有望突破3600亿元,海水产品产量将突破3000万吨,海产品对海洋经济和居民生活营养构成的贡献也比较稳定,有利于市场的稳定供给,满足居民日常海产品需求。

The marine fishery is an important part of the marine economy and leaders at all levels attach great attention to the development and utilization of marine fishery resources. This paper uses regression analysis to predict the key indicators of marine fishery from 2011 to2015. We found that China＇s marine fisheries added value is expected to exceed 360 billion yuan, sea product production will exceed 30 million tons, and the contribution of seafood to marine economy and the nutrition of resident life is also relatively stable in 2015, which is conducive to a stable supply of the market and meet residents＇ daily seafood needs.