摘要
本文以东莞市1986~2009年数据为基础,通过GRANGER因果关系检验和基于VAR模型的脉冲响应函数,分析了出口和东莞市的经济、人口集聚的相互影响,揭示了东莞市经济与人口集聚的非根植性特征及由此带来的"浅度城市化"现象,并提出相应的政策建议。
The paper analyses the impact of export on economy and population agglomeration through granger causality test and impulse response based on VAR model.It reveals the less of implanted characteristic of the agglomeration and the "shallow urbanization phenomenon in Dongguan City.Several proposal are made at the end of the paper.
出处
《特区经济》
2012年第7期40-42,共3页
Special Zone Economy
关键词
出口
集聚
城市化
东莞市
Export
Agglomeration
Urbanization
Dongguan