基于系统动力学的干散货航运市场运力供给研究被引量：3

Study on the Shipping Power of Dry Bulk Shipping Market Based on System Dynamics

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摘要运力过剩是现阶段国际干散货航运市场面临的重要难题,引起干散货航运市场持续低迷.为了揭示干散货航运市场运力供给的发展,阐述了干散货航运市场运力供给现状以及未来的发展趋势,应用系统动力学方法建立未来运力供给模型,对影响干散货航运市场运力供给的各种因素及相互制约关系进行了分析,提出了应对运力过剩问题的若干调整策略. Surplus power is an important problem of international dry bulk shipping market, causing the market remained sluggish. In order to reveal the shipping power development, the shipping power situation and future trend are introduced. System dynamics method is applied to build the future ship- ping power model, the relationship of various factors affecting shipping power of dry bulk shipping market is analyzed. Adjustment strategy to deal with the problem of surplus power is proposed to guide the stable trend of the dry bulk shipping market.

作者陈言诚林国龙胡志华

机构地区上海海事大学物流研究中心

出处《武汉理工大学学报（交通科学与工程版）》 2012年第4期799-803,共5页 Journal of Wuhan University of Technology（Transportation Science & Engineering）

基金上海教育委员会科研创新重点项目(批准号:11ZS145) 国家自然科学基金项目(批准号:71101088)资助

关键词干散货航运市场运力供给系统动力学 dry bulk shipping market shipping power system dynamics

分类号 F550.7 [经济管理—产业经济] U695.2 [交通运输工程—港口、海岸及近海工程]

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