陕西省城镇化与工业化关系测度与分析

Measurement and Analysis on the Relationship Between Urbanization and Industrialization in Shaanxi Province

城镇化与工业化紧密联系、互相促进。利用修正后的钱纳里标准和误差修正模型对陕西省的城镇化与工业化的发展关系进行了定量分析。结果表明,陕西省的城镇化水平滞后于工业化水平。其原因一是工业化对城镇化的带动作用偏小,回归系数只有0.399 941;二是存在一个反向的调整机制阻碍了工业化水平提高对城镇化的带动,并且该调整力度高达0.587 985。

The progresses of urbanization and industrialization are relates closely and promote mutually. The developing rela- tionship between urbanization and industrialization in Shaanxi province was quantitatively analyzed by using modified Chenery＇ s model together with normal and error correction model. The result showed that the urbanization level in Shaanxi province lagged behind the industrialization level. There were two reasons for this. That is, on the one hand, the industrialization level could not stimulate urbanization level greatly and the regression coefficient was only 0.399 941, on the other hand, there was a reverse adjustment mechanism that hindered the development of the urbanization level and the adjustment level was up to 0.587 985.