摘要
通过数理模型对2002年～2011年国际石油价格波动进行实证研究,结果表明2002年以来国际石油价格的波动脱离了供需关系,金融投机资本主导着石油期货价格,进而影响石油现货市场价格。
This paper does an empirical study on fluctuation of international oil price from 2002 to 2011 by using mathe- matical model. Results show that since 2002 oil price fluctuations has been detached from supply and demand relation and that speculative capital determines market price of the oil futures, and then affects the oil price of spot market.
出处
《价格月刊》
北大核心
2012年第8期28-31,47,共5页
关键词
国际石油价格
非正常波动
石油期货
international oil price abnormal fluctuation oil futures
