国际收支双顺差的负效应及措施

ANALYSIS ON THE NEGATIVE EFFECTS AND MEASURES OF DOUBLE SURPLUS IN THE BALANCE OF PAYMENTS

过去五年的统计数据显示,我国国际收支双顺差依然严峻,经常项目顺差仍高居不下,资本与金融项目顺差急剧攀升,国际收支的双顺差带来了严重负效应,主要体现在它造成了通货膨胀压力、使货币政策独立性的减弱、给人民币造成升值压力及导致我国内需不足和对外依存度过高。所提出的调节国际收支双顺差的相应措施,主要包括转变外贸发展战略;改善内部经济失衡状况,扩大内需,促进消费;实施稳健的货币政策;推行企业"走出去"战略。

The statistical data of the past five years shows, double surplus of international payments in China is still serious, the cur- rent account surplus has remained high, capital and financial account surplus is climbed quickly. Double surplus of international pay- ments has brought serious negative effect, which causes inflation pressure, weakens the independence of monetary policy, brings pres- sure of the appreciation of RMB and causes the insufficient domestic demand in China and high dependence on foreign. Suggested measures include the transformation of foreign trade development strategy, the expansion of domestic demand which promotes consump- tion, the implementation of prudent monetary policy, implementation of enterprises to ＂go out＂ strategy.