突发事件对油价的效应分析模型——基于PSR的概念框架

Effect Analysis Model of Emergency to Crude Oil Price——Based on the Conceptual Frame of the PSR

引入"压力-状态-响应"模型,构建关于油价的基于PSR理论的突发事件效应分析模型。在此基础上,利用PS函数对"压力-状态"之间的关系进行量化,并阐述专家系统对评价结果的修正过程,最终提出不同利益主体的"状态-响应"模式。

Through introducing ＂pressure-state-response＂ model, this paper constructs emergency effect analysis model about oil prices based on the PSR theory. Then it applies the PS function to quantify the relationship between pressure and state, expounds the correction process of expert system to evaluation results, and finally puts forward the ＂state-response＂ model to different stakeholders.