基于灰色关联的江西省粮食生产与耕地保护研究

Research on the Grain Production and Cultivated Land Change of Jiangxi Province Based on Gray Correlation Theory

粮食安全问题不仅是生存与发展的经济问题,也是一个社会问题,直接关系到社会发展与稳定。运用灰色关联理论,分析影响江西省粮食生产与耕地数量变化的主要因素,并预测到2020年在粮食安全战略下江西省耕地保有量。研究结果表明:粮食作物播种面积、人口数量等因素影响突出,因此,在粮食生产中应进一步加强政策支持、基础设施建设、科技指导和融资创新等。

Food security is not only the survival and development of economic issues, but also a social issue, directly related to social development and stability. Associated with the use of gray theory, this paper analyzes the impact of food production and cultivated land change , and predicts the need of cultivated land in 2020 based on the food security strategy. The results show that：the prominent factors included the sown area of grain crops, the number of population and so on. Therefore, we should further strengthen policy support, infrastructure construction, technical guidance and financing innovation.