太阳能帆板输出功率短期预测研究

Study on Short-Term Prediction of Solar Array Output Power

在卫星观测中,经常由于各种原因导致短时间内无法提取目标卫星数据,使控制系统无法继续对其保持高精度跟踪和控制。文章主要研究ARIMA模型在卫星遥测数据短期预测中的应用。使用Matlab软件进行ARIMA模型参数计算,再使用SPSS软件执行数据预测,并进行残差分析,通过实例验证,短时期内的预测数据精度较高。

In satellite observations,often because of various reasons lead to a short period of time to extract the target satellite data,so that the control system can continue to maintain its high accuracy tracking and control.The article mainly studies the ARIMA model in short term prediction of satellite remote sensing data application.The use of Matlab software for ARIMA model parameters,and then use the SPSS software to perform data prediction,and residual analysis,through the example,in the short period forecast accuracy.