弹道导弹中段轨迹预测研究

The Track Forecasting of TBM in the Middle Course

弹道导弹中段轨迹预测模型是弹道导弹防御体系中的关键模型之一,是指挥员掌握威胁态势、进行作战任务规划、制定拦截方案的依据。对预测过程中运用到的相关坐标系及其转换关系进行了说明;给出了详细的预测流程和模型中相关参数的计算方法;通过仿真分析表明,该方法在工程仿真中得到了有效的应用,得到了符合反导作战精度需求的预测轨迹和轨迹误差,为后续反导作战的任务规划提供了数据支撑和决策依据,验证了该方法的有效性和实用性。

The track forecasting model of TBM in the middle course is one of the key models in the system of missile defense, and is a basis for the commander to control the threat situation,carry on the battle programming and design the battle scheme. This paper first explains the common coordinates and their conversions used in the forecasting process ; then puts forward the particular process and computing method of the relative parameter in the model. Fi-nally, project through the simulation analysis, the conclusion got shows that this method is effective and practicable in the simulation, which provides a technique support for the task programming and battle schemeg establishment.