北部湾城市群基础设施与经济协调发展研究

North bay city group infrastructure and economy coordination developmentresearch

本文从基础设施的不同功能出发,以经济性、生活性、社会性来划分北部湾地区城市群的基础设施指标,运用VAR模型实证分析了1990～2009年北部湾城市群基础设施与经济发展之间的关系。结果表明,经济增长与基础设施之间有正向协整关系,其中社会性和经济性基础设施对经济增长显示正向协整关系,生活性基础设施与经济增长是负向协整关系。

We start from various functionalities of infrastructures,partition infrastructure indexes of Beibu Gulf region by characteristics of economy,living and society,and use VAR model to analyze and prove the relationship between infrastructure and economic development in Beibu Gulf urban agglomeration from 1990 to 2009.The result indicates positive cointegration between economic growth and infrastructure.Among which,characteristics of society and economic show positive cointegration,while characteristics of living shows negative cointegration.