协整理论在企业所得税分析与预测上的应用——以深圳市金融业为例

Application of Cointegration Theory in Analysis and Forecasting of Enterprise Income Tax——Taking Financial Enterprises in Shenzhen for Example

运用协整分析和因果检验的方法,建立了金融企业所得税收入与宏观经济指标的数理统计模型,希望运用此模型能够达到深化税收分析与预测工作,加强税源监控,提高征管质效的目的。

Using cointegration analysis and causality test method, the mathematical statistical model of financial industry enterprise income tax and the macroeeonomie indicators is established, in order to deepen the analysis and forecasting of tax revenues, strengthen the monitoring of tax sources and improve the quality of collection efficiency.