摘要
本文通过构建联立方程模型对贸易开放度、劳动密集型产业结构和经济增长之间的统计关系进行实证,同时利用VAR模型检验三者之间的相互作用。研究结果表明:经济增长不利于劳动密集型产业的发展,同时劳动密集型产业的发展也不利于经济增长;但贸易开放促进经济增长的同时阻碍了劳动密集型产业的发展。本文研究的政策含义是,当前政府应该优化劳动密集型产业结构,促进要素资源的合理配置;政府外贸政策的重心应该放在改变出口产业结构,使之朝着有利于转变经济增长方式的方向转变。
In this paper, we conduct an empirical analysis on the interrelation ship between trade openness, the structure of laborintensive industries and eco nomic growth using simultaneous equations model and VAR model. We find that there is a twoway negative relationship between economic growth and the devel opment of laborintensive industries, but that trade openness has a positive effect on economic growth and in the meanwhile baffles the development of laborinten sive industries. Accordingly, the policy implication is that the government should optimize the structure of laborintensive industries to improve the allocation of factor resources and the focus of the trading policy should be placed on chang ing the structure of export industries in favor of transforming the mode of eco nomic development.
出处
《国际贸易问题》
CSSCI
北大核心
2012年第9期96-107,共12页
Journal of International Trade
基金
教育部人文社会科学重点研究基地重大课题“发展经济学前沿理论研究”(项目批准号:05JJD790019)
“211工程”三期重点学科建设项目课题“经济全球化的新发展与中国经济发展新模式”的研究资助
