能源消费与国民经济增长的实证分析

An Empirical Analysis of Energy Consumption and Economic Growth

运用协整检验、建立模型Granger和因果关系检验等方法,对能源消费与国民经济增长的进行实证分析,表明能源消费增长与国民经济增长之间存在着长期均衡关系,且能源消费增长单向作用于国民经济增长,即能源消费在某种程度上促进着国民经济的增长。正确认识与处理能源消费与国民经济增长之间的关系,有助于发现经济中新的增长点,保持经济的稳健持续发展。

Uses co-integration test, model building and causality test and other methods, makes an empir- ical analysis of the energy consumption and economic growth, shows that the growth of energy consumption and economic growth exists between the long-term equilibrium relation, and the growth of energy consumption in unidirectional action in national economy growth, energy con- sumption to a certain extent to promote national economic growth. The correct understanding and handling the relationship between energy consumption and national economy, can help to discover the new point of growth in economy, maintain steady economic sustainable develop- ment.