资源型城市产业系统持续性分析与评价——以盘锦市为例

Analysis and assessment of sustainability of industrial system of resource-based city: a case study of Panjin city

界定了资源型城市产业系统持续性的内涵及影响因素,从产业系统总量、结构、经济效益和资源环境4个方面构建了产业系统持续性评价指标体系.运用模糊综合评价法对盘锦市产业系统持续性进行评价.结果表明,1998—2007年盘锦市产业系统持续性经历了"上升—下降—上升"的变化过程.通过灰色关联分析对产业系统持续性影响因素的贡献度计算,表明产业系统结构和产业经济效益是影响产业系统持续性的最主要的2个指标,产业结构因素是产业系统持续性变化的关键变化因子.

Based on the analyses of the internal and external factors,an index system for assessment on sustainability of industrial systems of resource-based cities is proposed.The sustainability of the industrial system of Panjin is calculated by using the fuzzy integrate judgment（FIJ） method,and the driving factors are studied based on the grey coloration coefficient analysis.The results indicate that Panjin’s industrial system sustainability experienced a process of ＂rise-fall-rise＂ from 1998 to 2007.The grey correlation analysis shows that industrial structure and industrial efficiency are the two main indexes which have significantly large impacts on sustainability.Since the industrial structure affects the other factors,the structure factor is the most important factor.