摘要
本文运用基于VAR模型的脉冲响应函数法与方差分解法,实证研究了1985-2010年我国服务贸易进口与技术进步之间的关系。研究发现,我国技术进步和服务贸易进口之间存在双向的因果关系,同时两者还存在长期协整关系,我国服务贸易进口存在技术溢出效应,服务贸易进口对技术进步产生较显著的正向影响。
Using the impulse response function and variance decomposition method based on VAR model, this paper presents an empirical analysis on the technical spillover effects of China＇s imports of services from 1985 to 2010.Results show that there exists a long-term Co-integration relationship between China＇s imports of services and technology progress. And there is a two-way causality relationship between them. China＇s imports of services has positive technical spillover effect and a significant positive impact on technology progress.
出处
《江苏商论》
2012年第8期69-72,共4页
Jiangsu Commercial Forum
关键词
服务贸易进口
技术溢出
VAR模型
脉冲响应
方差分解
import trade services
technical spillover
VAR model
impulse response
variance decomposition
