地震预报研究的动向和趋势

MOVEMENTS AND TENDENCY OF EARTHQUAKE PREDICTION RESEARCH

本文结合前不久在土耳其召开的第25届 IASPEI 大会的有关情况,在概述地震预报研究现状的基础上,简要分析并提出了为把地震预报研究引向深入,当前国际上值得注意的研究动向,主要有:1.注意加强现场的地震综合观测研究;2.重视震源过程和多种前兆统一物理机制的研究;3.系统科学在地震研究中的应用日益广泛;4.强调地震预报研究的国际合作。

Based on the knowledge gained from the 25th General Assembly of IASPEI held not long ago in Turkey,this paper briefly analyses and proposes the current worldwide research movements which merit our attention,together with a description of present situation of earthquake prediction research,in order to carry out more in-depth earthquake prediction research.The major trends mainly include:1.paying more attention to in situ comprehen- sive seismic observation and research;2.attaching great importance to studies of scismogenic process and unified physical mechanism of multiple precursors;3.the application of systems theory to earthquake studies is ever-growing;and 4.putting emphasis on international co- operation for earthquake prediction research.