基于引力模型的外商直接投资对中国服务贸易出口的促进作用研究

the Empirical Research on the Stimulative Effect of Foreign Direct Investment in China on its Service Export Based on the Gravity Model

基于扩展的引力模型,从FDI动机、市场规模、相对距离和共同语言方面论述中国服务出口的影响因素,以中国与19个OECD国家和地区之间2000—2008年的服务贸易出口和外商直接投资的面板数据为样本,实证研究中国吸引外资与服务贸易出口之间的互动关系。计量结果显示:外商直接投资和贸易伙伴国的经济发展水平是促进服务贸易出口的显著因素,但外商直接投资对于服务贸易出口的促进作用较弱;相对距离构成了服务出口的显著摩擦力因素;共同语言未通过显著性检验。

Based on the extended gravity model, the paper discusses the factors influencing the service export such as motion of FDI, market size, relative distance , the same language. Based on the panel data of the service trade and FDI of China and the 19 OECD countries and regions between 2000 and 2008, the article uses the extended gravity model to analyze the stimulative effect of FD1 on service trade in China. Empirical research results indicate that FDI in China and the economic development level of the trade partners promote the development of service export. But the stimulative effect of FDI is quite limited. Furthermore, the relative distance takes negative impact to service export.