中国对主要东亚经济体的贸易依存考察

An Investigation into the Trade Dependency on China' Export to the Main Asian Economies

从国(域)别、产品分类两层面,借助贸易份额等指标,考察中国对主要东亚经济体的贸易依存关系,发现东亚地区都是中国的传统贸易伙伴,市场(贸易)依赖较大,但依存程度总体上逐年下降,且变动趋势不对称的特征。总体上说,对亚洲新兴经济体的贸易依存关系基本稳定,对日本依存迅速下降,与东盟有较明显的制成品出口替代初级品出口的趋势。

Using the share of trade, the index of trade intensity, and HM index to investigate China＇s trade dependency on the major East Asian economies at the level of country and product classification, we found that East Asia are China＇s traditional trading partners, and the marketdependence is still high, but the dependence de- gree has been declining and the trends have changed in an asymmetry way. Generally speaking, China＇s trade de- pendency, is basically stable with the Asian emerging economies, and rapidly decline with Japan, and with ASEAN, there is a more significant trend for the export of manufactured goods gradually replaced by the export of primary products.