中国东、中、西部地区经济周期的差异性研究

Research on the Differences of Economic Fluctuation of China's Eastern,Central and Western Regions

本文采用实证分析方法,对中国东部、中部、西部地区经济周期波动特征进行研究,探讨劳动与资本对这三个区域经济波动的影响。结果表明,近年来三个地区经济周期性波动有趋同的趋势。此外资本变化对于经济波动的影响,东部地区要高于中西部地区,而人力资本对于经济波动的影响,东部地区与中部地区基本一致,但高于西部地区。本文认为宏观经济政策应当考虑地区差异才能取得更好的效果。

This paper applies the positive method to analyze the features of the economic fluctuation of China＇s eastern, central and western regions, and discuss the influence of capital and labor on the economic fluctuation of these three regions. The empirical results show that the economic fluctuation of these three regions has the tendency of convergence The influence of the change of capital on economic fluctuation in eastern region is more than central and western region, the influence of human capital on economic fluctuation in eastern region is the same as that in central region, but more than in western region. This paper suggests the government should implement different policies in different regions.