摘要
较详细地绘出了该海域内50年来海水温度的变化周期及分布特征,并利用热平衡原理和数理统计方法,预测2011—2012年度海冰发展趋势。经多年检验该方法较为稳定、有效,能够较准确的预报局部海域冰情。
The periodic variation and characteristics of surface sea temperature is described in detail in the northern coast of Shandong Peninsula during the last 50 years. By using the principle of thermal equilibrium and mathematical statistic method, the developing tendency of the sea ice is predicted in 2011-2012. Being validated several years, the method is proved to be stable and effective for the sea ice prediction in some local regions.
出处
《海洋预报》
北大核心
2012年第4期70-73,共4页
Marine Forecasts
基金
广东省2011年"防灾减灾关键技术研发"项目
"南海季风槽造成江门沿海地区强降水分析与预报"资助
关键词
海冰预报
热平衡原理
预测趋势
sea ice prediction
thermal equilibrium theory
tendency prediction