人民币汇率对福建省外贸结构影响的实证分析

An Empirical Analysis of the Influence of RMB Exchange Rate on the Foreign Trade Structure in Fujian

近几年人民币汇率变动频繁,总体呈现小幅度升值趋势。由于福建省的外贸现状,人民币汇率的波动将对福建省的外贸结构带来一定的影响。文章将从人民币汇率变动的历程及决定机制和福建省外贸现状出发,分析福建省外贸商品结构的特征,再利用实证分析方法,探寻人民币汇率可能对福建省外贸商品结构所带来的影响,最后讨论了改善福建省外贸结构的政策建议。

In the recent years, the exchange rate of RMB has experienced frequent fluctuation, exhibiting an overall slight upward trend. Due to the current situation of foreign trade in Fujian, the fluctuation will exert some impact on foreign trade structure in Fujian Province. Starting from the process and determination mechanism of RMB exchange rate fluctuation as well as current situation of foreign trade in Fujian, this paper analyzes the characteristics of the foreign trade commodity structure in Fujian province. By employing empirical study method, the possible effect of exchange rate on foreign trade structure in Fujian is explored. Policies for improvement were also proposed.