摘要
FDI作为固定资产投资的一部分,其对经济增长既有短期的需求效应,也存在一定滞后时期的供给效应。文章采用江苏省1991-2010年间的统计数据,运用ADL模型与二元滞后回归模型对FDI与GDP,以及各个产业间不同的FDI对其分别的经济增长所产生的不同贡献进行测算与估计。结果显示FDI在第一产业投入最有效率,而在第二产业中投入对其经济增长需要滞后一期才显著。最后结合模型输出结果对江苏省不同产业的发展提出相应的政策建议。
As a vital part of fixed investments, Foreign Direct Investment （FDI）not only plays a part in demand effects on Gross Domestic Products （GDP） ,but in supply effects as well. The paper has adopted statistic data from 1991 to 2010 of Jiangsu Province, and has done empirical analysis of FDI and GDP in Antoregressive Distributed Lag （ADL）model and Du al Lag Regression model. The results demonstrate that FDI has the most effective impacts on the first industry,and its influ ence shows an obvious impact on the secondary industry due to oneyear lag regression. Finally,relative political suggestions for three industries of Jiangsu have been put forward respectively.
出处
《技术与创新管理》
2012年第5期543-547,共5页
Technology and Innovation Management
