交通事故灰色预测模型的研究

Study on the Forecast Model of Traffic Accidents with Grey Theory

在交通事故统计的基础上 ,运用灰色理论 ,建立了一阶单变量的交通事故预测模型 ,即GM( 1 ,1 ) ,可用于交通事故各项统计指标的预测。它较传统的预测方法更科学。

Based on the analysis of the traffic accident, an one step and single veriable traffic accident forecast model (GM(1,1) is set up with the Grey Theory. It can be used for forecasting the traffic accident's statistical guideline. The example shows that the way is feasible, simple and practical.