广东省区域技术创新能力测度的灰色关联分析

Grey Relational Analysis of Innovation Capability Measurement of Regional Technology in Guangdong Province

区域技术创新能力是构建区域创新体系的中心问题,建设创新型区域是提升区域竞争力、促进区域经济社会发展的必由之路。提出了一套区域技术创新能力的测度指标体系,分析研究了区域技术创新能力形成机理及其数学模型,针对该问题的灰色不确定性,运用灰色关联分析模型对影响广东区域技术创新能力的因素进行了灰色关联度的定量分析,描绘出影响（1999~2006年）广东经济增长（GDP）的区域技术创新能力因素的灰色关联图。结果显示,该模型的有效性较好、可靠性较高、实用性较强。最后,根据广东省区域技术创新能力测度的分析结果,提出了提高广东省区域技术创新能力的对策建议。

Innovation capability of regional technology is the central issue of the construction of a regional inno- vation system. Building an innovative region is the only way to enhance regional competitiveness and promote regional economic and social development. This article presents a measurement index system of innovation ca- pability of regional technology. We have studied the mechanism of regional technology innovation capability and established the mathematical model. For the uncertainness of grey relation, the article does a quantitative analysis on the factors which can influence economic growth in Guangdong （GDP） using the grey relation anal- ysis model, and describes grey correlations graph of innovation capability of regional technology in 1999-2006. The results show that the model is valid, reliable, and practical. Finally, based on the analysis, this study provides corresponding countermeasures for problem situations of the regio0al technological innovation capability in Guangdong. it describes a grey way of technology innovation to lrnprove the economic perfor- mance of the Guangdong region.