汇率浮动对经济增长影响的理论探讨

Theory Discussion on Impact of Floating Exchange Rate to Economic Growth

文章从汇率浮动与影响经济增长的各变量之间相互制约、相互影响关系入手,主要阐述国外经济增长理论:哈罗德-多马模型、新古典经济增长模型和内生增长模型三个阶段。同时简要介绍国内外专家、学者就汇率浮动对经济增长之间的关系所做的大量理论和实证研究成果。影响汇率浮动、经济增长的因素很多,正确地认识和估计这些因素对经济增长的贡献,对于理解和制定促进经济增长的政策是至关重要的。

Start from the mutual restraint and influencing relationship of various variables that influence exchange rate floatation and economic growth, this paper mainly introduces the overseas economic growth theories： Harold Model, the new classical economic growth model and inner growth model. This paper also briefly introduces the research and empirical results of experts and scholars on the relationship of exchange rate floatation and the economic growth. There are a lot of factors that could affect the exchange rate floatation and economic growth, correctly understand and estimate the contributions to the economic growth of these factors is critical important to understand and to promote economic growth policies.