《论持久战》的科学预见思想探析

On the Thought of Scientific Prediction in On Protracted War

《论持久战》是毛泽东高超预见能力的集中体现。在该文中,毛泽东深刻系统地分析了抗日战争的性质、内容、特点、过程和步骤,作出了抗日战争必然是持久战、胜利最终属于中国的科学预见,生动地展示了科学预见的方法论,不仅在当时发挥了重要指导作用,而且至今仍具有重大的现实意义。

Whether the scientific prediction can be conducted or not is always a hot topic in this complicated social history. A series of Mao Zedong＇s scientific predictions in the revolutionary era have been a forceful answer to this question, which has been embodied in his On Protracted War. In this article, Mao Zedong profoundly analyzed the nature, task, features and steps of anti-Japanese war and predicted that it would be a protracted war and that victory would belong to China, which has vividly shown the methodology of scientific prediction. It not only plays an important role in guiding the war but also has a realistic significance in modern times.