期刊文献+

一种基于数值产品的热带气旋路径预报业务方法 被引量:1

下载PDF
导出
摘要 利用欧洲地面数值格点72h预报场、热带气旋实况和62a(1949-2010年)台风历史数据库资料,以设计的地面低压系统识别模块从数值产品中提取热带气旋移动路径等预测信息,在动态概率圆为束缚分析条件的基础上,查找相似个例组,继而建立以时序误差权重最小为依据的相似个例判定,完成热带气旋移动路径的预报。
作者 陈颜红
出处 《气象研究与应用》 2012年第A01期155-156,共2页 Journal of Meteorological Research and Application
  • 相关文献

同被引文献15

  • 1邓国,周玉淑,李建通.台风数值模拟中边界层方案的敏感性试验——I.对台风结构的影响[J].大气科学,2005,29(3):417-428. 被引量:43
  • 2Zhong Z. A possible cause of a regional climate model's failure in simulating the east Asian summer monsoon [ J ]. Geophysical Research Letters, 2006, 33 ( 24 ) :L24707.
  • 3Janjic Z I. Nonsingular implementation of the Mellor - Yamada level 2.5 scheme in the NCEP meso model [J]. Ncep Office Note,2002(436):61.
  • 4Hu X M, Nielsen - Gammon J W, Zhang F Q. Evalua- tion of three planetary boundary layer schemes in the WRF model [ J ]. Journal of Applied Meteorology and Climatology,2010,49(9) : 1831 - 1844.
  • 5Sun Y, Zhong Z, Lu W . Sensitivity of tropical cyclone feedback on the intensity of the western pacific sub- tropical high to microphysics schemes [ J ]. Journal of The Atmospheric Sciences,2015,72(4) :1346 -1368.
  • 6Brown A R. Evaluation of parametrization schemes for the convective boundary layer using large - eddy simu- lation results [ J ]. Boundary- Layer Meteorology, 1996, 81(2) :167 -200.
  • 7Bright D R, Mullen S L. The Sensitivity of the numeri- cal simulation of the southwest monsoon boundary layer to the choice of PBL turbulence parameterization in MM5 [ J]. Weather & Forecasting, 2002,17 ( 1 ) : 99 - 114.
  • 8Hong S Y, Pan H L. Nonlocal boundary layer vertical diffusion in a Medium - Range forecast model [ J ]. Monthly Weather Review, 1996,124(10) :2322.
  • 9Sun Y, Zhong Z, Lu W, et al. Why are tropical cyclone tracks over the western north pacific sensitive to the cu- mulus parameterization scheme in regional climate modeling? a case study for Megi (2010) [ J]. Monthly Weather Review,2014,142(3 ) : 1240 - 1249.
  • 10段朝霞,苏百兴,黄莉莉.0814强台风“黑格比”西折、快速移动和强度分析[J].广东气象,2010,32(1):18-21. 被引量:14

引证文献1

相关作者

内容加载中请稍等...

相关机构

内容加载中请稍等...

相关主题

内容加载中请稍等...

浏览历史

内容加载中请稍等...
;
使用帮助 返回顶部