入世以来我国在国际贸易中角色地位变化的实证研究——以社会网络分析为方法

Empirical Study on the Changes in China's Role and Status in International Trade since China's Entry into WTO: Based on Social Network Analysis

文章从联合国贸易和发展会议网站获取2001年和2010年国际贸易50强之间的进出口数据,采用社会网络分析方法研究了入世10年来我国在国际贸易体系中角色和地位的变化。研究结果表明:2010年,我国的点出度、特征向量中心度与核心度都排名第一,在多维尺度图、国际贸易网络图中也占据中心地位,表明我国在国际贸易网络中的地位不断提高、权力不断增强;但点入度、中间中心度和限制度落后于美、德等贸易强国,反映出我国在国际贸易体系中的话语权和影响力尚需进一步提高。文章最后对我国转变对外贸易发展方式、实现从贸易大国向贸易强国的转变提出了对策建议。

Based on the data of the international trade top 50 countries＇ import and export in 2001 and 2010 from the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development website, this paper studies the changes in China＇s role and status in international trade system since China＇s entry into WTO by social network analysis. The results show that in 2010 Chinese out-degree, eigenvector centrality and core degree rank the first and China occupies a central position in the multidimensional scaling map and the network diagram of international trade, confirming the increase in China＇s status and power in the international trade network; but China lags behind trade pow-ers like the United States and Germany from the perspective of in-degree, betweenness centrality and limit degree, indicating that China＇s discourse power and influence in international trade need to be raised. Finally, it puts forward some suggestions about the change in China＇ s trade development mode and the transformation of China form a big trade country to a trade power.