短期内经济健康运行的帕累托最优标准

On the Pareto Optimal Criterion for Short-term Macro Economy

目前大都以菲利浦斯曲线和奥肯定律为"标准"判断短期内经济运行的健康与否。然而,菲利浦斯曲线、奥肯定律以及据此得出的关于目标经济增长率、目标失业率和目标通货膨胀率的"标准",都是依附于某个国家或地区个别经济实践的经验,并设有普遍的指导意义。基于帕累托最优理论,笔者认为:关于短期内经济的健康运行,其失业率和通货膨胀率的帕累托最优理论标准均为3.93%,经济增长率的帕累托最优理论标准为3.4%。这些"理论"标准,对不同国家或地区的经济实践都具有指导意义。

Based on Pareto Optimality, this paper put forwards some optimal theoretical criterions about economic growth rate, unemployment rate and inflation rate for short-term macro economy. The optimal theoretical criterion of both unemployment rate and inflation rate are 3.93%, that of economic growth rate is 3.4%,both of which have guidance significance to all economic practices.