政府-市场的三元结构与库兹涅茨倒U型曲线

The Three Meta Structure between Government,Market and the Kuznets Curve

笔者通过构建中央政府、地方政府、市场三元结构模型,从政府和市场两个维度讨论收入分配的倒U型曲线。利用省级面板数据的计量检验表明,目前中国正处于倒U型曲线的左半部分,未来10年将迎来倒U型曲线的拐点;而且,改革开放以来,中央政府一直试图缩小收入差距,地方政府对收入差距的影响不确定,而市场化总体拉大了中国的收入差距。

Based on the concept of the Kuznets Curve, this paper analyzes the three-meta structure among central government, local government and market, and the interchange influence. The empirical studies show that China＇s overall income inequality will pass the turning point of the Kuznets Curve in next ten years. Furthermore, the central government is making effort to shorten the income gap, while local government＇s impact to income gap is uncertain, and marketization widens the income gap.