我国产业结构对城镇化水平的影响分析

ANALYSIS OF IMPACT OF CHINAS INDUSTRIAL STRUCTURE ON URBANIZATION LEVEL

城镇化快速发展与产业结构优化已经成为当前我国发展的主题，备受关注．不论是城镇化发展还是产业结构优化都与劳动力的转移密不可分，因此两者密切相关．基于此认识，笔者采用三次产业分类法，运用灰色关联度分析方法，从产值构成和就业结构两个方面，找出与城镇化水平关联最强的产业结构因子，即第三产业就业比重．并进一步运用回归分析法量化了第三产业就业比重对城镇化水平的影响强度．同时，笔者运用改革开放以来我国产业结构和城镇化相关数据，进行产业结构对城镇化的作用路径分析，并以发展中的问题为切人点，提出我国城镇化与产业结构协调发展的建议，以期能为促进城镇化发展和产业结构优化提供参考．

The growing urbanization and upgrading industrial structure have become the subject of today＇s development, and of great concern. Both the urbanization development and industrial structure optimization are inextricably linked with the transfer of labor. So, they are closely related. Using the three industry classification, this paper used the gray relational analysis method from the two aspects of industrial structure and employment structure to find out the strongest industrial structure factor associated with urbanization level. The results showed that it is the employment proportion of tertiary industry. We further used regression analysis to quantify the impact intensity of the employment proportion of tertiary industry to urbanization level. By analyzing the relevant data of Chinag industrial structure and urbanization since 1978, the paper drew the effect path of industrial structure to urbanization level. Taking the developing problems as an entry point, we put forward the proposal to promote the coordinated development of Chinag urbanization and industrial structure.