转型时期相对过剩假说

A Transitional Period on Relative Surplus' Hypothesis

目前“买方市场”或“过剩经济”的根本原因：一方面宏观经济运行的微观基础没有内生组织和技术创新机制，微观主体行为低效率，传统体制集中决策控制的刚性作用，促成高投入替代低效率，形成大量无效供给并累积；另一方面，我国二元结构强度再增生，广大农村居民收入增长迟缓，收入分配的供给和需求效应弱化，整个国民经济结构的关联水平和质量下降，经济增长缺乏结构效应，出现有增长元发展的现状。“过剩经济”是果，低效率、低收入是因，故称“相对过剩”。

At present basic reasons for 'buyer's market' or 'surplus economic are both aspects. On the one hand, micro-base of macro-economic working can' t grow in interior mechanism of organization and innovation, thus, behavior is low-efficience, in addition, traditional concentration-decision contributes to high-input replacing low-efficience, resulting in a number of fruitless supply, on the other hand, with double-economic coefficience enlarging, peasantry's income increase slowly, it weakens effect on supply and demand. Economic growth is lack of structure effect.