宜春市短期气温预报方法

Yichun Short Term Temperature Forecasting Method

运用欧洲中心850hpa温度数值预报产品和常规天气图资料,充分考虑850hpa气温数值预报变量与最高、最低气温变量的相关性,参考不同天气系统影响下的气温日变化,结合预报员经验订正,制作宜春市短期最高、最低气温预报,取得了较好的预报效果。

Using ECMWF 850hpa temperature products and routine synoptic data,we analyzed the correlation of ECMWF 850hpa temperature data with the highest and the lowest temperature adequately.Combining forecaster’s experiences,we also considered the variation of air temperature effected by different synoptic system.It makes good results in achieving the short term temperature forecast of Yichun.