摘要
文章以经济周期理论为基础,首先实证分析划分了广西区域经济增长波动性区间,依据所得结论,进一步构建模型,对广西的经济波动进行内在传导机制和外在冲击机制分离。研究表明,广西的内在传导机制解释力为35%,外在冲击机制的解释力为29%。
This paper bases on the theory of the economic cycle,firstly empirical analyzes division of the fluctuation of the Guangxi reginal economic growth.Base on the analysis,this paper builds an empirical model to divide the intrinsic conduction mechanism and the external shock mechanism in the economical fluctuation.The result shows that the intrinsic mechanism of Guangxi can explants 35% in economical fluctuation and the external shock mechanism can explants 29%.
出处
《广西经济管理干部学院学报》
2012年第3期71-77,共7页
Journal of GuangXi Cadres College of Economic and Management
基金
广西经济管理干部学院社科基金项目"构建广西宏观经济监测预警调控系统"(项目编号:09BJLB013)阶段性成果
关键词
区域经济
波动模型
实证分析
Guangxi； Reginal Economic； Fluctuation Model； Empirical Analysis
