京杭运河江苏段港航发展预测研究

Study on the Prediction of Grand Canal Port and Shipping Development in Jiangsu

京杭运河的港航发展与江苏的运河沿线城市经济发展紧密相关。文中首先分析了运河航运与沿线八市经济发展的关系。其次,分别利用多元线性回归和灰色预测方法,对运河沿线港口吞吐量进行了预测,并予以综合评定。再次,利用回归方法对运河运量进行了预测。最后针对前面的问题,提出了加快运河江苏段港航建设发展的建议。

The economic development of cities along canal in Jiangsu is closely related to the development port and shipping.Firstly,the paper carries out analysis on the relationship between them.Secondly,predicts the canal port throughput by using multiple linear regression model and gray prediction model,then makes a comprehensive evaluation.Thirdly,predicts the canal traffic through regression model.Finally,it puts forward suggestions to accelerate the port and shipping development of Jiangsu segment of the Grand Canal according to the problems mentioned in front.