博弈视角下群体性事件中群体与政府间关系研究

Research on the Relations Between Groups and Government in Group Events from the Viewpoint of Game Theory

近年来,我国群体性事件呈直线增长。这类群体性事件对社会稳定、经济秩序、政府形象和人民的生命财产都产生了一定的负面影响。事实上,许多群体性事件最后基本都演变为相关利益群体与政府间的谈判。相关利益群体与政府间谈判的过程正是相关利益群体与政府博弈的过程。文章基于博弈论相关知识之上构建群体与政府间"讨价还价"博弈模型,从理论上对参与主体采取策略进行分析,研究参与群体在不同形式下所采取的博弈策略,并通过相关案例研究,最后提出治理途径。

At present, violent and massive group events in China has increased. Under normal conditions, the demonstration startes peacefully but later turnes violent. Actually, it always develops to be a negotiation between the shareholders and the government. The negotiation process is just like the one of game theory. With game theory , the author tries to work out the plot of a bargain model With the bargain model , the article analyzes what measures stakeholders should take in order to win the prize. Finally, based on the analysis some measures are proposed to effectively administer mass events.