中国碳排结构变动的时序分析

Time Series Analysis of China's Carbon Emission Structure Changes

通过2002-2007年可比价投入产出表,分析得出我国碳排结构变动趋势:我国农业的碳排是消费依存型的,采掘业的碳排是出口、投资依存型的,重工业的碳排主要是出口依存型的,轻工业的碳排主要消费依存型的,电力热力燃气及水的生产供应业是消费依存型的,建筑业是投资依存型的,服务业是消费依存型的;2002-2007,我国碳排消费、投资依存出现下降,出口依存增加明显。

This paper mainly analyzes arrives at a conclusion of structural comparable prices input-output tables of 2002-2007and changes in carbon emission trends： carbon emissions of China＇s agriculture is consumption dependent type, and of the mining industry is export ＆ investment type, and of the heavy manufacturing is export dependent type, and of the light manufacturing is consumption dependent type, and of the production and supply of electricity gas and water is also consumption dependent type, and of the construction industry is investment dependent type, and of the service trade is consumption dependent type; 2002-2007, there is a decline in China＇s carbon emissions consumption and investment dependency, while an obvious increase in export dependency.