长三角制造业高级化测度及其影响因素分析

Measurement and influential factor analysis of Yangzi delta manufacturing industry advancing index

基于传统产业升级理论提出"制造业高级化"概念,并从制造业结构优度和价值链高度两个维度构建制造业高级化指数。对长三角制造业高级化的测度结果显示,上海、江苏、浙江制造业高级化程度正在逐渐提高。以制造业高级化指数为因变量,以对外贸易依存度、市场化程度、人力资源素质和经济发展阶段为自变量,建立多元线性回归模型,分析各因素对制造业高级化的影响。研究结果表明,依靠外向型、依靠投资驱动尤其是政府投资驱动的经济发展方式,对制造业高级化的作用有限;人力资源素质的提高是制造业高级化的关键驱动因素。在此基础上从研发投入、人才培养、品牌战略等方面分析了推进制造业高级化的相关政策。

Based on traditional industry update theory the concept of manufacturing industry upgrade is proposed. And the indices of manufacturing industry upgrade are built from both dimensions, i.e. , manufacturing industry structure goodness （ priority degree） and value chain height. The measurement results on Yangzi Delta manufacturing industry upgrade show that the manufacturing industry up- grading degrees of Shanghai, Jiangsu and Zhejiang are gradually improving. A multiple linear regression model is established to analyze the influence of the factors on manufacturing industry upgrade, in which the indices of manufacturing industry upgrade are the depend- ent variables, and the degree of dependence on foreign trade, commercialization degree, quality of human resources, and economic de- velopment stage are the independent variables. The research results show that the influence of those economic development modes rel- ying on export - oriented, investment - driven and especially government investment - driven on manufacturing industry upgrade is lim- ited ; the improvement of human resource quality is the only driving factor of manufacturing industry upgrade. Furthermore the policies to promote manufacturing industry upgrade are analyzed from the aspects of R＆D investment, personnel training, and brand strategy.