基于旅游本底的第29届奥运会对北京旅游效应评估

29^(th) Olympic Games in Beijing Tourism Effect Assessment Based on the Tourism Background Trend Line

运用旅游本底趋势法剥离测算了第29届奥运会对北京的旅游效应。结果表明,2001—2010年间,第29届奥运会为北京吸引入境旅游者20.67万人次,国内旅游者1 644.49万人次;增加入境旅游收入22 211.23万美元,国内旅游收入为126.62亿元。入境旅游人数贡献率为0.867%,国内旅游人数方面为1.93%;入境旅游收入贡献率为0.875%,国内旅游收入贡献率为1.250%。对入境旅游的影响率为0.873%,国内旅游影响率为1.894%;入境旅游收入影响率为1.047%,国内旅游收入的影响率为1.234%。对客观认识现代奥运会对举办城市旅游业的影响具有参考价值。

The 29th Olympic Games in Beijing tourism effect is calculated by method tourism background trend line. The results showed that between 2001 and 2010, the 29th Olympic Games Beijing attracted 206 700 inbound tourists, 16 444 900 domestic tourists increase in inbound tourism revenue of $ 222 112 300, domestic tourism income of 12. 662 billion yuan. Inbound Tourist arrivals contribution rate of 0. 867 %, domestic tourists arrivals contribution rate of 1.93 % ; inbound tourism revenue contribution rate of 0. 875 %, domestic tourism revenue isl. 250%. Affect the rate of 0. 873% inbound tourism, domestic tourism impact rate of 1. 894% inbound tourism revenue is 1. 047%, and the impact of domestic tourism revenue is 1. 234%. Research has important reference value on an objective understanding of the modem Olympics of the impact of tourism in the city, and also provides a useful perspective to assess the effects of tourism for other mega-sport events.