内蒙古包头市耕地资源人口承载力研究

Research on Population Capacity of Cultivated Land Resources in Baotou of Inner Mongolia

运用灰色系统模型和自然增长法对包头市的耕地资源人口承载力进行研究,预测得出2015年包头市温饱、小康、富裕型承载力分别为464.02万、360.91万、295.29万人,2020年分别为691.65万、537.95万、440.14万人,提出耕地与人口协调发展的途径。

The population capacity of cultivated land resources in Baotou was studied by gray system model and the method of natural growth,it was predicted that the fairly comfortable,well-off and rich population was 4 640 200,3 609 100 and 2 952 900 in 2015 and 6 916 500,5 379 500 and 4 401 400 in 2020.Finally the paths to the coordinated development of cultivated lands and population were proposed.